Sunday Prayers

Best Each Way Albany r4 Henry The Aviator ; Won this track , grade and trip 2 starts ago , against a similar field. Surrounding runs have been ok in the metro/provincial area. Each Way in a field of 7 (Pay 1 & 2) is not usually the go but I have him priced favourite so the $6.50/2.80 looks juicy.

Best Value Albany r7 Mister Popcorn ; His form is ordinary excluding 1 run , this race last year. Being 2nd up over 3100m , no doubt this has been a 12 month plan and he is the only horse in the field you could be at least confident he runs the trip out. At $13 that is enough for me to have a each way bet.

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Weekend Winners

Ascot r4 Lova Session ; You know what your going to get with this mare , she will sit back and attack the line late with a short sharp burst. She is a bridesmaid , only 3 wins but 11 2nds , so a weak Saturday race at over $2 a place is the perfect opportunity to back her . Two each way options , heavy place to maximise profit or even split to cover your win stake.

Ascot r6 Camera Action ; Biggest positive i can find for this mare is the Jockey change. We were on last start and it was a horror watch behind Lova Session. Back to 1200m is not ideal and she is a bit skinny in the market at the moment but I must follow up.

Best Each Way Ascot r8 Headwall ; This horse is absolutely flying without luck in irresistible form reference races. Obviously Overpass has proven unbeatable in the west but to get the same odds the place on Headwall than the win on him is ridiculous imo. Surely the fav cops pressure from Front Page and hopefully he charges over the top.

Betting Strategy ; I am having a place multi with the three selections and single win bets. If one of the first two finish unplaced then I will have a crack at the place on Headwall .

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Pinny Punts

Best Bet Pinjarra r 4 Admire The Girl ; Not much went right in her debut campaign and the runs rated well enough to be winning this . She trialed down the straight like a first up winner with Pike in the saddle and he sticks for a 1000m straight maiden. Just needs to find a path towards the outside fence from her middle gate.

Pinjarra r6 Patron Express ; First up after only being beaten a few lengths in the 3yo Spring features , this looks a very suitable first up assignment. Was asked for zero effort in trial and has blinkers applied first time. Hopefully a double to friend and Lucky Duck trainer Jason Miller .

Kalgoorlie r1 Mungo Jerry ; Beat key rivals convincingly last week in the same grade , yet somehow is not favourite. Looks the one at the odds.

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Easter Monday Chocolates

Best Each Way York r6 Queen’s Sacrifice ; We found her in Kalgoorlie last start and this is no harder. She was well supported then , ridden aggressively and held them at bay quite comfortably . Each way looks great value . Jolly Lace is a track & distance specialist which is a big advantage at York. Plenty don’t handle the hill . Bad draw with big weight but is the main danger.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Albany r3 Endless Joy ; Was bursting to break it’s maiden tag , and burst it did , winning by 7 lengths last time out. Where’s My Lunch won his last start by 10 and it sets up an exciting clash. That race was run in blinding rain on a heavy 8 track so I think the margin can be a little misleading. At the better odds I think Joy can sit on the fav and run him down.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r9 Jazz Session ; Has a sharp turn of foot which she successfully stretched out to 1200m last start to tick that box and bring up the hatrick. Technically up in grade but the 2nd fav brings Geraldton form so she is well placed to score 4 on the bounce. Nobellity leads and is the hardest to beat , Jazz beat her comfortably last time they met over the 1000m.

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Good Friday Gambles

Ascot r2 Haida Gwai ; Trialing the house down , if she’s matured / improved a couple of lengths from her debut campaign she will beat these . Lane / Brad Parnham went 2/2 at Pinjarra Wednesday and this filly can bring up the hatrick. Lucky I Am the danger as the market suggests , looks the Quinella.

Best Bet Ascot r8 Watch Me Rock ; Suggested he was a $1.40 pop last start and although he had to be convinced to stick his head out , he still looked in control and got the job done. Over $2 in another very suitable race looks irresistible, albeit not as confident as last time. Hopefully the gear change brings out the killer Instinct , if not Angel Undercover has the turn of foot to steal it.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Each Way Pinjarra r3 Savvy Ruler : Has hit the line hard in two career starts behind horses who look better than maiden grade. If Redback Flyer is going to jump favourite in a c3 in race 6 , then the each way on offer in this maiden has to be the play , especially with the barrier advantage over the current favourite.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Geraldton r8 Gav Has Spoken ; 3yo filly who kicked off her career with a strong win here . Next three runs in the metro / provincial area were good enough to win this. 5th run in first campaign the query , they can train off at any moment . If she has petrol left she goes very close , enough juice in the $3.10 to find out.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 Weerachoux , He destroyed practically the same field with 60kgs last start. The only question is the extra 200m giving the inferior opposition 5.5 kgs . $2.25 from the soft draw looks a bet.

Ascot r7 Luana Miss ; She was supported late in betting first up to trouble the hot pot Yes Queen and she ran her down to remain undefeated. Both fillies draw wide for the rematch and considering the favourite is a jump and run type , I see no reason why she can’t run her down again.

Best Each Way Ascot r8 Rope Them In ; Proved too classy in the Bluff Knoll at Albany and while this is much harder , he was most likely underdone on his way to the Qoukka . He also has a 4th , beaten under two lengths behind Overpass in last years Winterbottom in his cv. Jokers Grin is a serious sprinter , the one time he went beyond 1000m he was outsprinted by Generosity . That was 1200m and he is a massive danger but the each way on offer has Roped me in ! All 3 go in the quaddie.

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Narrogin Numbers

Best Bet Narrogin r4 Favoured Son ; Finds a weak race where he can race on pace from the good draw and Narrogin favours front runners more often than not. The scratching of the equal favourite Gingeriffic has shortened the odds but made the task easier. Fun fact , it was going to be a clash between the 3yo half brother of Frantic War vs the 2yo half sister to Magnasonic . Bit of useless trivia for you!

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Pinjarra r4 Mangifera ; If you ignore her debut where she thought she was at a rodeo , her subsequent runs and trial should see her winning this moderate maiden providing she can run out 1200m first up. Not much juice in the price but it’s the best bet in a very lackluster meeting tbh.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r3 Watch Me Rock ; Two very nice wins this prep with a flop in the Bunbury Stakes in between. Perhaps it was 2nd up syndrome or being in the wrong part of the track , his class stands out in this race regardless. Unless the strong winds forecast dish up a leaders paradise , I can’t see him being beaten which makes the $2.05 more than acceptable . (I rate him a $1.40 chance).

Best Value Kalgoorlie r6 Queen’s Sacrifice ; Made headlines when winning an Ascot c1 over 1400m at 200/1. Only beaten 4 lengths next start in c3 company over 1600m. Drops back to 1400m in a country c2 and goes around at $9 .

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Albany Analysis

Best Bet Albany r6 Warralea Lass ; 6 Days ago went around in a 62+ at Ascot as our best each way tip. That didn’t end well but she only faded late after doing work in the breeze. She now backs up with only 53kgs at her home track in a country 70+ , great race for her. What a Prince is clearly the best horse in this , 61kg (8kgs more than Warralea Lass) over a staying trip is a big ask.

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Pinny Punts

Best Bet Pinjarra r5 Redback Flyer ; Maps to get every possible . (for those who followed yesterday’s tip , a competent jockey this time) and was eating up the ground first up over 1400m. The others in the market are drawn poorly and I genuinely think it’s an odds on chance , so happy to have a decent bet at $2,20.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r8 Camera Action ; Has always trialed like a horse with above average ability . Perhaps hasn’t quiet lived up to it yet however its form is more than good enough to be more than competitive in this. Should lob one or two pairs back and it’s turn of foot can cover them . Not a good thing but I have it marked favourite and see $4 as great value.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Narrogin r2 Endless Joy ; Has the best recent form amongst a pretty limited bunch and has Faithfull who is always one of the leading jockeys at these country meets. Just has to get the extra 100m and it will breakthrough.

Narrogin r6 Platinum Shot ; Narrow 3rd at Ascot c3 level is good form for a Narrogin c5. Race with plenty of chances but she deserves to start favourite . Another solid ride for Faithful.

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Weekend Winners

Best Each Way Ascot r6 Warralea Lass ; Typical wide open stayers race . $8.50 for a 4yo mare who has won 3 of her last 4 including a near identical race last start where she jumped a well supported $4.20 chance. seems good value.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Pinjarra r9 Captain Pluto ; Almost an identical field and speed map to the Bunbury Cup with an extra 300m to run. Considering he was the strongest late and won by over a length , it’s hard to not have him on top.

Best Value Pinjarra r10 Too Much Talk ; The narrow 2nd to Cross Statement 2nd up stands up as a form reference to warrant having an each way bet on a 25/75 % basis in this line up. 3 starts at the distance for 1 win 1 2nd.

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Weekend Winners

Best Each Way Ascot r4 Sure Thing ; Jump N Run horse who thrives on high speed pressure racing . He is undefeated in WA albeit at Esperance . Jumping from a country cl2 to a 60+ graduation is a massive concern however his times have been good and his racing style should suit Ascot . Definitely not a Sure Thing and to be honest the price could be a little longer but I don’t like the meeting as a whole and am left with this bet.

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