Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r5 Amaroo Star ; Was too strong for a speedy filly last start and maps to get a similar run in the same grade, track and distance . Improving with race experience and can go on with it here.

Ascot r7 Sixinch Heels ; Won her 1200m maiden at Pinjarra in a romp and although this is stronger , the form from her initial campaign is strong enough to suggest she can handle these and better races in the future.

Ascot r10

Magnasonic comes to a midweek c5 off the back of yet another luckless run in Saturday company In a 1200m race with very little early pace on paper , barrier 2 and Pike , it really should be a great race for him. His profile suggests a peak performance after a luckless run and the stable report say’s his fresh and ready to go. Deferred thoroughly deserves to be favourite and we will need some Wizardry to win but he is a great chance to be in the finish . I map him leaders back and with the cutaway in place there will be no getting held up.

10% Win 90% place . Quinella with Deferred.

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Weekend Winners

Best Each Way Ascot r5 Hang Glider ; Tipped him as an each way special , suffered cardiac arrythmia and finished last. Sits 3 deep no cover 5 weeks later and gets up at 20s. Ahh the great game! Cessastion is stretched at 1200m , Brave Strike has Pike tax although concede he is the one to beat. Each Way odds in a field of 8 is the bet imo.

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Belmont Bangers

Best Bet Belmont r4 King’s Drama ; Has been finishing his 1000m races off well in higher grade , indicating 1200m down in grade should be the perfect recipe to break through. In a quaddie dominated by short priced favourites , he looks the best of them.

Quaddie (r4-7) 6/FD/4/4 $15 for 100%

* Deffered has a better wet track record but still stands out on class

* Perfect Chant first time 1400m and off a disappointing run but is also down in grade and has blinkers first time.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 Hobelar ; Backed up it’s trial romp with a gritty all the way win in this grade just 10 days later . Finds the front comfortably and with the race fitness can improve again and be extremely difficult to get past.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Ascot r7 Twilight Tale ; This is a big step up in grade from her first two victories but the Barra Mundy form reference has stood up and she flogged him at just start two . Exciting staying prospect who is likely to relish the increases in distance on her way to the oaks.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Bunbury r3 Fluro Neuro ; Has won two in a row and this is no harder , in fact you could make a strong argument it’s weaker , depth wise at least. Carried 60kgs 2 starts ago so weight shouldn’t be an issue and showed last start it can sit forward or back in the run.

Bunbury r4 Just Saint James ; Put Cessation to the sword over 1200m 2 starts ago and yet they have come up equal favourites. 1200m suits James far better imo . Both Lonsdaleite and Miss Flirtacious come from stronger races and can threaten.

Exacta / Trifecta First 4 ; 1st 4; 2nd-4th ; 2 3 5 allways.

Bunbury r6 Magnasonic heads to his home track on Cup Day for a Graduation 60+ 1100m.. Scorpion Ruler looks the leader and hardest to beat with Sky Duke looking to cross from the outside. Our Jockey has a task from the wide barrier , hopefully he can go forward and find some cover. From there he is an each way chance in a wide open race. All 3 wins have been here , always an advantage to race at home against horses that have to travel .

Small each way bet , more interested in the novelties which should be juicy.

Box Trifecta 1.​3.​6.​8.​9 $60 for 100%

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Pinny Punts

Best Bet Pinjarra r3 She’s Perfection ; First run at a trip this prep she went down at $1.45 . She bumped into a leader who was bursting to win a staying maiden that day and the price did look ridiculous. She still nearly got there and the $3.90 and drifting odds today look much more appealing with blinkers being applied for the first time.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r4 Net Zero ; 3yo who has hit his straps last two starts in this distance range While drawn wide his turn of foot really should round up a very limited field . I have him marked odds on so I see the $2.50 as great value.

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Weekend Winners

Ascot r1 Blue Rocket ; Has been a bit hit and miss early in it’s career but in better races , including the hits. Ginger Morpheus Smoked them at start two but it was at $1.24 which indicates it was a very weak race. Off Blue Rockets trial I think there is enough price differential to see if she can run ginger down.

Best Bet Ascot r7 Twains Angel ; While no match for Snowdome who skipped clear when she was held up last start , she still balanced up and hit the line. Snowdome won well again since and I’m shocked she is not favourite at set weights and penalties in this line up. Generosity must be respected on the spirited early betting move however she is 3/17 including 1/12 at Ascot vs 7/13 , 3/9 Ascot , with all 3 wins coming at 1200m.

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Albany Analysis

Best Value Albany r3 Dynamite Bay ; Rainline & Platinum Shot bring the Metro form , DB brings Kojonup Picnic form. It’s the two placings behind Frantic War & Flick The Switch that suggests $14 / $3.30 is a good value play on a heavy place basis. Also carrying 71kgs to victory proves the 10yo still has a zest for it no matter how weak the opposition.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Value Ascot r2 Hobelar ; Don’t know what it beat at trials and race pressure can be a different ball game but it brained them over 1000m with the inexperienced apprentice on . Perhaps that gave them a clue that he is a short course speedster and Brad Parnham is one of the best pacemakers in our current riding ranks. Blue Rocket has the form on the board and looks very hard to beat off his latest trial. You can back them both to win rather than Hobelar each way in the small pay 1 & 2 market .

SRM Blue Rocket Top 2 , Hobelar Top 3 .

Best Bet Ascot r4 Mississippi Dawn ; Exciting clash between 2 up and coming 3yo fillies heading towards the Autumn 3yo classics. While Funchal will be hard to beat , she will also need luck from barrier one , while Mississippi will be sweeping down the outside whenever Chris Parnham wants to release the handbrake. Bred to get better the further they go , I’m siding with the better odds being offered on Mississippi Dawn .

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Weekend Winners

Best Value Ascot r2 Frantic War returns to the big smoke for a crack at getting us into the winners bar on a Saturday and we think he will run a great race at juicy odds. He brings Great Southern 70+ form which more than stacks up in this line up and is drawn the fence to hold his position , most likely leaders back , in what is expected to be a blistering early tempo . Similar scenario happened at Albany last start and had he got the run he would have bolted in . If Luke can get into the open in the straight then he can play a role in the finish.

10% win 90% Place ; Worth a heavy place bet on the map he should get and base your novelties on Cessation (Top 2) Frantic War (Top 4)

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r1 Nicely Played : $1.75 into $1.16 and never let backers down last start in a 1100m maiden at Bunbury. $2.10 in a 3yoomwly with money coming for Hez Got The Safe . With the way Chris Parnham is going and the map suggesting the filly will dictate terms over 1000m , he would have to reel off a spectacular finishing burst to run her down. Very keen and think those who loaded up last time will see her eventually jump in the red again , if not more for us.

Jockey Challenge Chris Parnham ; No market yet and most likely too short to worry about but all his rides are in the market and Pike only has 2 rides so he should be winning . I’ll update when the market is open.

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Bunbury r7 Fanz ; Since winning at Narrogin 5 starts ago , it has run 4 solid races in better fields than it meets today. $3.20 is a lot shorter tan recent sp’s and I’d prefer an extra 100m to run them down but I still think it can get the job done.

Bunbury R8 Catch The Red Eye ; Was heavily backed 2 back and led until the shadows of the post when run down by Magnasonic , much to the delight of Lucky Ducks ! Fanz ran a fast finishing 4th in the same race so if he franks the form , confidence grows. Forget last start when not able to get anywhere near the lead and had no luck whatsoever . If he finds the front he looks the goods . Under Influence is the best horse in it , maps very awkwardly for an apprentice from the wide draw.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Pinjarra r3 Supernatural ; Has finished off hard last two starts over 1200m , winning a 3yo plate and then a close up 5th in a quality line up despite a checkered path in the straight. Providing you can make ground down the outside she has a finishing burst that can run these down at the bottom of the weights.

Pinjarra r9 Just Saint James ; There is crazy speed drawn across the track in this 1000m straight race hence we look for a swooper. 2 time winner at the unique track and distance who is progressing nicely through the grades.

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Esperance Evaluation

Best Bet r1 True Chance ; Is going for 6 in a row and drops 4.5kgs due to the presence of Uncompromised in the field . Market can’t split them but the weight differential over the distance has me firmly in his corner.

R5 Zebedee Springs ; Only has to hold it’s rating from WA debut win to be very competitive here . Any improvement and it just wins .

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Bunbury Best Bet

Bunbury r2 Sir Duskin ; Was trialing well before a luckless first up run , made amends by running down a short priced favourite from last 2nd up. Has 60kgs this time in our wonderful ratings system however looks suited out to the 1200m 3rd up. Lombadina is the hardest to beat , not sure she should be odds on but the early market moves prefer her . Perhaps the 2 trainer jockey combo’s are something to do with the price differential , hopefully more money for us.

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Wednesday Winners

Ascot r5 Territory Man ; Good debut win over 1400m , clearly has more upside than anything else in this . Hopefully being 4 weeks between runs means he is fresh enough to stay at 1400 as it looks like he will be better over further. Has had good early market support which is always a good sign . Thermosphere Lad is the hardest to run down for quinella punters .

Best Bet Ascot r8 Twighlight Tale ; Almost a copy and paste job from above , this time a 3yo filly who won on debut over 1500m who has more upside than the rest and will only get better as the distances increase . Regally bred Peter’s Investments filly most likely on an Oaks path , she should be able to run them down from a midfield stalking position.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 Play Fair ; First attempt at a staying trip saw this 3yo son of Playing God put a c1 field to the sword with a big turn of foot from the back. Has way more upside then anything else , just has to handle the 59.5kgs and the heat to win this. Blazing Tycoon has won 9 races and 235k , the 9yo wound back the clock and was beaten under a length this track , grade and trip last start. Looks the insurance bet or novelty value .

Best Each Way Ascot r2 Hit The Jackpot ; Connections have done just that lately with this gelding who is going for 4 on the bounce after confidence boosting back to back wins at Albany , followed by a remarkable victory down the Pinjarra straight when drifting from the outside fence to the inside and winning by over 3 lengths. He will almost definitely lead this field from the gate and the favourite Essentric Nature will be closer to last. 1200m is a query but he wasn’t stopping last time and he might just have a big enough break to hang on at an each way qoute.

Best Value Ascot r9 Magnasonic ; Crucified by the handicapper from his last win , we head to Saturday Graduation company for the first time lumped with 59.5kgs and barrier 7/9. There is very good speed engaged however with Sunlit Fresco likely to run them along with pressure from Rapid Rock & Cross Statement . Inform hoop Chris Parnham will be looking for cover and a back to follow into the home straight , before unleashing over the last 200m . The compressed weight scale with us topweight indicates a very evenly rated field and the market doesn’t rate our chances at $17/ $3.70 That seems very generous for a last start c5 winner comparative to the other form in the race.

10% win 90% place. Happy to have a go at the place here with the win odds big enough to go heavy place . Looks a great novelty race .

1.​3.​5/1.​3.​4.​5.​8/1.​2.​3.​4.​5.​6.​8/1.​2.​3.​4.​5.​6.​7.​8

$10 quinella , $12 exacta , $60 Trifecta , $300 first 4. (100% flexi reccomended)

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Bunbury r4 Smooth Chino ; He is as green as grass but richly talented and 1/1 in a very limited field . Hard to do a lot wrong and win over 1000m so hopefully he improves with racing experience and justifies the even money. It looks overs in this to be honest.

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