Best Each Way Pinjarra r3 Argyle Star ; Has been knocking on the door all prep with Apprentices in the saddle and now Chris Parnham jumps on.
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Belmont r3 Rissoles ; Blackbooker who was enormous in defeat last time , coming wide from last against a horrible bias. He started $26 that day and this is potentially a deeper race so the $7 is short enough but he can be in the finish each way.
Belmont r4 Sophia’s Symphony ; They should go like the clackers in this and that suits Sofia’s Symphony down to the ground. She is dropping in grade from a great return in The Beaufine Stakes and is a 2 time track & distance winner. Any sort of clear air at the top of the straight she will be charging over the top of them. Valency is a two time first up winner who I’d prefer over 1200m but if the speed is as hot as anticipated , she can add value to the novelties.
SRM Sophia’s Symphony Top 2 , Final Siren Top 3 , Valency Top 4.
Best Value Belmont r7 Puli ; I can concede that his last start win in the Beaufine was somewhat by default with the likely winner going amiss and he being left out in front on a day that played on pace bias all day. However he was backed into $10 that day and is currently $16 despite it looking a no harder race. Should find the front for fun , run them along and take some catching.
Best Bet Belmont r9 Berbere ; Destroyed them first up in quick time to make it 4/8 and drawn to get every chance for #PIKEINTHELAST followers.
Again faced with a deteriorating track in expected increasing rain. Again we suggest small stakes and look out for any distinct bias.
Bunbury r3 Undercover Sniper ; He was slightly held up in restricted room behind Magnasonic last time . Wouldn’t of beaten us but could of cost him a minor placing. Barrier 1 on a backmarker type sprinter not ideal but if CJP can weave some magic and the inside is ok then he can run top 2 . The inside must be a concern though.
Best Bet Bunbury r6 Sky Duke ; Is a 2 time first up winner who won a trial recently by 9 lengths on a soft track. His race record on wet is a concern but he should be highly competitive in this grade.
Not a day we can bet with confidence . With Magnasonic flying the flag for us I have done the form but suggest small stakes and looking for value.
Belmont r4 Magnasonic ; Last start win and overall form suggest he is as good a chance as any in an open event. The conditions that are expected to deteriorate further are unknown for both favourites , the wide draw could assist or hinder.
Best Value Belmont r6 Secret Deploy ; If we come out smiling with Magnasonic then his form will be franked and his 2 best runs have been on soft tracks. Omen punters love a grey in the wet and on an impossible day he is going well enough to spec each way.
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Best Bet Belmont r4 Kisses From Kelly ; We went with him last start and Antique Miss proved far too good despite our tip having every chance. The map looks identical but this time the favourite loses Pike for an apprentice. In a staying race , especially on a backmarker , that is enough of a carrot to try and turn the tables.
Belmont R7 Petrouchka ; She beat the girls over 2000m and beat most of these comfortably in the Guineas. She is clearly the best winning chance of the day if your willing to take odds on . The Old risk vs reward debate.
Best Roughie Belmont r8 Paddy’s Flyin ; 3/3 at the track & distance , 3/4 on soft. Drawn 1 would of been great last week , who knows this week with the weather but Harvey can do no work behind a hot speed and try and take a split late at 30s . Each way spec.
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Pinjarra r2 Timeless Gem ; Has trialed just as impressive as the favourite and has race experience .
Best Bet Pinjarra 3 Tivacisaurus ; Big raw gelding who has finished off hard from the back at both career starts to date. Short enough on the 7 day back up at just his 3rd career start but the 1800m looks ideal in a thin race. Any on pace bias would be a problem as he will take time to wind up.
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Best Roughie : Belmont r3 Rissoles ; Started 6/4 last start in a maiden and won well. Yes this is much harder but there are still no Jokers Grin’s level horses in it who he raced against 2 starts ago. Good speed engaged here will allow him to sit out the back and hopefully charge home into at least a place at big odds.
Best Bet Belmont r6 Sentimental Hero ; Is 4/6 at Belmont including 1/1 at 1600m and is 3/5 on wet tracks. Effortless win last start , should get a very similar run and carries the same weight with the use of the claim. The fact it’s $5 the field and you can get each way is a big bonus.
Best Each Way Belmont r8 Ghost Who Walks ; Won this race last year and even though he is drawn terrible he will get back and charge home anyway. Trialing the house down.
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Best Bet Belmont r3 Kisses From Kelly ; Should be rock hard fit on the 7 day back up and going for 3 in a row in this distance range. Antique Miss is also flying and on the quick back up. She is jumping up 500m for her first start at a staying trip however so I’m backing Kelly to be too strong late.
Best Each Way Belmont r8 Kings Honour ; Looks a genuine 1000m specialist and is drawn to hopefully be ridden aggressively to hold the front from the other speedsters. Likely to be a wall chasing him late , headed by Stormchaser but he is nice each way odds so hopefully he can at least hang on for a place.
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Best Bet Bunbury r5 Cherry Can Run ; Finally ended a run of 2nd’s last start to break through this track and distance range. 2nd from that race has won twice since , including yesterday (Saturday grade) . While she’s only won 2 from 30 , this is her sweet spot distance wise while others in the market may be suspect at the end.
Bunbury r6 Let’s Galavhant ; Has been placed to perfection his entire career , earning connections over 800k and just continues to compete , every time they raise the bar. 2nd in the Hyperion over at 50’s , then winning the Strickland at 10s , we are now faced with $2.35 . Granted it’s hard to join in now but the way he hit the line last start it’s hard to see any of his rivals turning the tables barring a savage leader bias.
Broome r4 Deep Point ; Absolutely made speed engaged here , and all of that speed might be paddling the last bit , giving the fav his chance of reeling them in as he has won over 1200m .
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Best Each Way Belmont r7 El Patron ; Was a talented 2yo who lost his way but recent runs indicate he is back on track. Drawn to get a much more economical run than last start where he was “Piked” on the line up the inside after doing a mountain of work .
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Belmont r2 Magnasonic (Place);Two satisfactory trials when not asked for much of an effort have him primed for this first up assignment. He has shown enough at his 2 career starts to be ultra competitive today and if the addition of blinkers have the desired effect then he should be up there contending for a top 3 finish. Jokers Grin looks a very nice type and is clearly hardest to beat hence the main play is a place providing the field remains 8 runners .
Best Bet Belmont r7 Pearly Nugget ; A mare who has only won 2 / 16 but has gone down narrowly both runs this prep and has competed competitively enough in stronger company to suggest she is the one to beat here.
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Best Bet Belmont r5 Falcon Trader ; Ever consistent gelding who has won 6/15 including 2 of his last three. Handles all conditions and he is versatile enough to make full use of the barrier.
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Best Bet Belmont r4 Sunlit Fresco ; First start in maiden grade saw her win well , fighting off 2nd and spacing the rest. While jumping up 3.5kgs into a c1 is never easy , especially for a 3yo , she has raced in harder company previously and considering the 2nd fav is 1/23 she should have the upside to be very competitive.
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Best Bet Bunbury r2 Elle Of A Boom ; Has placed both at the distance and on soft ground . Has only had 6 starts so in a very thin distance maiden that has to stand for something.
Bunbury r4 Sunlit Fresco ; Dropping back from a 2nd in a c1 at career start 2 into a maiden see’s her very well placed to win.
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Belmont r2 Lucky’s Way ; Ran on well over the 1000m last start in this grade and now gets back out to the more suitable 1200m.
Best Each Way Belmont r5 Duchess of Gossip ; Has a sensational track/distance/soft track record and was really good first up to show she has come back well.
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Best Each Way Kalgoorlie r4 Unlikely Hero ; Total guesswork regards to if it’s ready but it’s record of 3 places from 7 starts in Qld is more than strong enough in this moderate line up. Late betting might tell the tale.
Best Bet Kalgoorlie r5 Red Cadillac ; She is 2/2 this track and distance and her 3 runs this time in over shorter indicated she is on track to make it 3/3 .
Best Quinella Kalgoorlie r7 Nos 3 & 9 ; Both Hidden Ruby & Kelly’s Li Za Lu finished 3rd 4th behind Californication in the Provincial Series last start , he was a good thing beaten in the final yesterday. Hard to split them so we will go the quinella.
Quaddie (r4-7) ; 1 3 4 7 8 , 1 , 1 2 3 5 6 7 , 3 9 ; $60 for 100%
Ex Duck Prize Pursuit finally draws a barrier . He’s last run was better than it reads on paper , did way too much work to get across and popped late. From barrier 1 he gets a soft run to see if he can improve. If it was 8 runners I’d be keen on a place bet but pay 1 & 2 I’ll just throw him in the quaddie and cheer him on without financial support.
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Best Bet Belmont r2 City Angel ; Won one of these 1000m Platinum’s first up , walked in even. Then ran 2nd to The Boss Lady over who is a far superior form reference than anything in this field. From barrier 2 she is versatile enough that Madi Derrick can come out positive then decide to lead or take a sit. Providing she doesn’t get held up she should be extremely hard to run down.
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Best Bet Belmont r7 Capo Veloce ; His two runs this campaign have been big , finishing hard from the back. From the barrier it will have to be another big effort but you can back him on a 40/60 basis to cover your stake.
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Best Bet Belmont r2 Brave Spirit ; In a race with three almost equal favourites , I’m backing the Twain’s Angel form reference . Taking ground off her over 1200m indicates the 1400m should suit. The map and 60kgs is against Chollima but she’s smart . Richanco is up in distance and class but undefeated so must be respected
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Best Bet Morphetville r8 Amelia’s Jewel ; Plenty of knocks around WA’s star mare regarding 1200m and her starting price profile. Overpass is a serious sprinter on his day and I tipped him to win the Quokka and I would tip him even more confidently here . He’s not here , she will be ridden slightly more conservatively early and she has blinkers first time. She still ran 2nd being ridden upside down and if the blinkers sharpen her up even a little then she has to be the one to beat here .
Ascot r5 Cool Memory ; First try at 1600m resulted in a close 2nd to talented / flying 3yo Fly With Caution. 3yo form generally stacks up against graduation grade and he drops 1.5kgs taking on the older horses.
Best Value Ascot r7 Citino ; He has beaten up on a weak maiden field and a weak cl1 at his last two . This is technically a massive jump in class but there are still no stars in it and he drops from 60kgs to 54,5kgs to compensate. Will sit back and unleash a sharp turn of foot from the back. Each way all day.
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